Тестова діаграма (наведіть курсор)
Тест інтерактивності
Moldova elections: Pro-Russian vs Pro-EU performance (2014-2025)
🎯 2025 Polling Miss: Major Pro-EU Victory
Pre-election polls (among decided voters): Pro-Russian 44.4% vs Pro-EU 34.7%
Actual results: Pro-EU 50.2% vs Pro-Russian 24.2%
The pro-EU PAS party dramatically outperformed projections, securing a clear parliamentary majority (~55 seats) despite widespread concerns about Russian interference and vote-buying.
| Year | Election type | Pro-Russian performance | Pro-EU performance | Winner | Key notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Parliamentary | 38% (PSRM + PCRM) | 45% (PLDM + PDM + PL) | Pro-EU Coalition | PSRM emerged as largest single party |
| 2016 | Presidential | 52.2% (Dodon) | 47.8% (Sandu) | Pro-Russian | Peak of pro-Russian electoral success |
| 2019 | Parliamentary | 39.5% (PSRM + Șor) | 26.8% (ACUM bloc) | Pro-Russian | PSRM largest party, complex coalitions |
| 2020 | Presidential | 42.3% (Dodon) | 57.7% (Sandu) | Pro-EU | Diaspora vote crucial for Sandu |
| 2021 | Parliamentary | 33% (BECS + Șor) | 52.8% (PAS) | Pro-EU | PAS absolute majority, major shift |
| 2024 | Presidential | 44.7% (Stoianoglo) | 55.3% (Sandu) | Pro-EU | Close race, Russian interference alleged |
| 2025 | Parliamentary (Pre-election Poll) | ~44.4% (BEP + Others) | ~34.7% (PAS) | Pro-Russian? | Polling among decided voters; ~40% undecided |
| 2025 | Parliamentary (ACTUAL RESULTS) | 24.2% (BEP) | 50.2% (PAS) | ✓ Pro-EU | PAS won ~55 seats, clear majority despite Russian interference attempts |
Key trends & observations
- 2014-2016: Pro-Russian parties gained momentum, culminating in Dodon’s presidential victory
- 2020-2021: Major pro-EU surge with Sandu’s presidency and PAS parliamentary dominance
- 2024: Pro-Russian support remained resilient (~45%) despite EU integration progress
- 2025 Pre-election: Polls suggested pro-Russian comeback (44.4% vs 34.7%), with 40% undecided
- 2025 Actual Results: Massive polling miss – PAS won decisively 50.2% vs BEP 24.2%, securing ~55 parliamentary seats
- Diaspora Impact: Moldovan voters abroad (mostly pro-EU) were once again decisive, helping PAS exceed expectations
- Turnout: 52.2% voter turnout – higher than previous parliamentary elections
- Russian Interference: Despite massive alleged vote-buying schemes (138,000+ people paid), cyberattacks, and disinformation, pro-EU forces prevailed
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